What could recent movement in the Dow/gold ratio suggest to investors??
*Dow Theory Letters, by Richard Russell, July 2, 2008:
“In January of 1980 with the Dow at 887 one share of the Dow would
buy only 1.04 ounces of gold. That was the least amount of gold one
share of the Dow could buy. The ratio was heavily in favor of gold.
From 1980 the ratio shifted in favor of the Dow. By July 1999 one share of the Dow would buy 43.8 ounces of gold. At that time gold was dirt-cheap compared with the Dow -- gold was selling around 265 an ounce while the Dow was selling around 11600.
Since mid-July the ratio has been declining in favor of gold. Yesterday, Dow/gold ratio dropped to a new low since 1999 of 12.05. The ratio had dropped roughly 72% since its 1999 high. In terms of gold, the Dow has lost almost three-quarters of its value over the last nine years.
How low will the ratio go? There's no way of telling. I'm guessing that somewhere ahead the Dow/gold ratio is going to collapse, as gold goes parabolic on the upside and as the Dow finally sinks into its ultimate bear market low.”
*This information is solely a highlight of the opinion of a third-party publication and is incomplete. Please subscribe to this publication for the full and timely opinion of the author and call a Monex Account Representative for any additional up-to-date information. This is not an offer to buy or sell precious metals. Investors should obtain advice based on their own individual circumstances and understand the risk before making any investment decision.
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