Why will China usher in a collapse of the dollar?
*Financial Times, by Sundeep Tucker, May 5, 2009:
"US policy is pushing China towards developing an alternative
financial system. For the past two decades its entry into the global
economy rested on providing cheap labour to multinationals and pegging
the renminbi to the dollar. The dollar peg allowed it to leverage the
US financial system for its international needs, while domestic finance
re-mained state-controlled to redistribute prosperity from the coast to
the interior. This dual approach has worked well. China could have its
cake and eat it. Of course, the global credit bubble was what allowed
the approach to be effective; its inefficiency was masked by
bubble-generated global demand.
China is aware it must become independent from the dollar at some point. Its recent decision to turn Shanghai into a financial centre by 2020 reflects its anxiety over relying on the dollar system. The US will not pay attention to something so distant. However, if global stagflation takes hold, as I expect it to, it will force China to accelerate reforms to float its currency and create a single, independent and market-based financial system. When that happens, the dollar will collapse."
*This information is solely a highlight of the opinion of a third-party publication and is incomplete. Please subscribe to this publication for the full and timely opinion of the author and call a Monex Account Representative for any additional up-to-date information. This is not an offer to buy or sell precious metals. Investors should obtain advice based on their own individual circumstances and understand the risk before making any investment decision.
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