Will worldwide monetary stimulus cause investors to shed currencies?
*The Economist, January 7, 2010:
''THE effect of free money is remarkable. A year ago investors
were panicking and there was talk of another Depression. Now the
MSCI world index of global share prices is more than 70% higher than
its low in March 2009. That's largely thanks to interest rates of
1% or less in America, Japan, Britain and the euro zone, which have
persuaded investors to take their money out of cash and to buy risky
For all the panic last year, asset values never quite reached the lows that marked other bear-market bottoms, and now the rally has made several markets look pricey again. In the American housing market, where the crisis started, homes are priced at around fair value on the basis of rental yields, but they are overvalued by almost 30% in Britain and by 50% in Australia, Hong Kong and Spain.
Stock markets are still shy of their record peaks in most countries. The American market is around 25% below the level it reached in 2007. But it is still nearly 50% overvalued on the best long-term measure, which adjusts profits to allow for the economic cycle, and is on a par with two of the four great valuation peaks in the 20th century, in 1901 and 1966.''
*This information is solely a highlight of the opinion of a third-party publication and is incomplete. Please subscribe to this publication for the full and timely opinion of the author and call a Monex Account Representative for any additional up-to-date information. This is not an offer to buy or sell precious metals. Investors should obtain advice based on their own individual circumstances and understand the risk before making any investment decision.
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