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Where is gold headed?

*CNBC, by Daryl Guppy, September 3, 2013

”Where’s gold headed? Watch silver

Where is the gold price going?  It’s a simple matter of following the S.  That’s S for silver, not Syria.  COMEX silver has led the gold price since 2011, with silver reaching a price peak in April 2011 before Gold peaked in September 2011.  The collapse following these price peaks showed the same behavior for both silver and gold.  Traders who followed silver had clear warning of how gold would behave once the peak was established.

In 2012 the silver price leadership advantage was reduced.  The retreat in silver after it reached a 2012 price peak in September was mirrored by gold in October 2012.  While silver still provided a leading indication of gold price behavior, the lead time was reduced.

In 2013 the sliver price lead has narrowed to days from weeks or months.  There is now a closer relationship between the price behavior in silver and gold.  However, a lead of several days is still enough to give gold traders an advantage.  They can monitor developments in the silver price and watch for a confirmation of the behavior in gold.”

”The very strong support and resistance line near $26.00 is a major barrier to any strong trend breakout.  The silver chart suggests a rally towards $26.00 followed by a retreat and perhaps the potential for another rally retest of the $26.00 resistance level.

What is important is that the behavior of the silver price will provide a guide to the behavior of the gold price a few days later.  It’s a very useful trading advantage.”


*This information is solely a highlight of the opinion of a third-party publication and is incomplete.  Please subscribe to this publication for the full and timely opinion of the author and call a Monex Account Representative for any additional up-to-date information. This is not an offer to buy or sell precious metals. Investors should obtain advice based on their own individual circumstances and understand the risk before making any investment decision.

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