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Why should people invest in commodities such as gold?

*In usnews.com, by Barbara Friedberg, April 17, 2019

”Why You Should Be Investing in Commodities

Investors seeking the perfect stock market hedge just might find it by investing in commodities.

Commodities are the raw materials that are either consumed or used to build other products. From orange juice, to timber, oil and gas or gold, commodities take many forms.

The beauty of diversifying with commodities is that when one asset goes down, investors own others that will offset the loss and rise in price. The lower the correlation between assets, the greater the diversification benefit. Investing in less correlated assets keeps an investment portfolio from extreme volatility. For instance, it’s much easier to digest a 10% loss than it is a 30% decline.

Another reason to consider investing in the commodity market is its low correlation with stock market returns.

“While many see commodity investing as intimidating and risky, investing in commodities is actually a great hedge when the stock market is falling. Historically, investments in crops, metals, energy, currencies and other tangibles are negatively correlated with both stocks and bonds – when the market goes down, the value of commodity investments go up,” said Manav Garg, CEO and founder of Eka Software, a digital commodity management platform.

Another reason to invest in commodities is it offers the ability to shield against inflation. As prices rise, and goods become more expensive, commodity prices also increase. With commodities at the epicenter of the global supply chain, an investment in commodities can act as an effective inflation hedge, says Karen Harding, a chartered financial analyst and partner at NEPC in Portland, Oregon.

In sum, investing in commodities can offset the loss in purchasing power that arises from inflation and minimize investment volatility.

What Are the Risks of Investing in Commodities?

Commodities do have risks, distinct from the perils of investing in the stock and bond markets. Many variables impact commodities pricing.

“Commodity prices are among the most volatile of any market due to their sensitivity to country, economic, and operational risks such as strikes, unexpected harsh weather, terrorist attacks, and natural disasters,” Valladares says.

Landry believes that the best time to own commodities is when inflation is high or when there is a scarcity of a commodity or excess demand. When those conditions aren’t in play, returns may suffer.

Since many commodities are international in nature, investment returns are also impacted by changes in the exchange rates between foreign currencies and the U.S. dollar.

Commodities prices are extremely volatile. Within a short time, prices can peak and trough dramatically.

Should You Be Investing in Commodities?

This type of investing is risky with tremendous volatility. The lack of correlation between commodities and typical stock and bond investments can be helpful at certain times, while during other periods commodity returns can drag down an investor’s total returns.

Commodities investing is cyclical and distinct commodities offer varying returns. Over the past 10 years, the S&P GSCI commodity index price peaked in 2011 near 5,700, bottomed in 2016 at 2,000 and is currently trading slightly above 2,600. While individual commodities follow their own ups and downs in price.”


*This information is solely an excerpt of a third-party publication and is incomplete. Please subscribe to the referenced publication for the full article. This is not an offer to buy or sell precious metals. Investors should obtain advice based on their own individual circumstances and understand the risk before making any investment decision.

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