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Inflation
September 16, 2007

Does the Fed use selective language to disguise an inflationary crisis?

Inflation

"Mr Greenspan said he would expect 'as a minimum, large single-digit' percentage declines in US house prices from peak to trough and added that he would not be surprised if the fall was 'in double digits.'

Mr Greenspan said house prices were probably already down about 2-3 per cent from their peak on a national level.

However, he cautioned that it was very difficult to predict how large the ultimate decline would be.

As Fed chairman, Mr Greenspan had talked about 'froth' in the housing sector, but never said there was a bubble in the market as a whole. His successor Ben Bernanke has also avoided the word 'bubble.'

But Mr Greenspan told the FT that froth 'was a euphemism for a bubble.'

He said he still thought froth – a collection of bubbles – was a better description, because of the variation in house price appreciation in different local housing markets. But he said 'all the froth bubbles add up to an aggregate bubble.'

The former Fed chairman said the current turmoil in financial markets was 'an accident waiting to happen.'"

*This information is solely an excerpt of a third-party publication and is incomplete. Please subscribe to the referenced publication for the full article. This is not an offer to buy or sell precious metals. Investors should obtain advice based on their own individual circumstances and understand the risk before making any investment decision.

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