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U.S. Budget Deficit
April 29, 2008

What has pressured gold and caused short covering in the dollar/euro?

Deficits Debt

"Media has convinced the public that the Fed will go hawkish, first by decelerating the drop in interest rates. The deceleration has been attributed to the Fed having done the right thing.

Media has convinced the public that the ECB will reduce interest rates now faster than the Fed, thereby boosting the dollar versus the euro.

Although the business statistics are negative, the media has held out the carrot that it takes six months for the Fed's action to materialize in the economy so all will be well in six to nine months.

The idea that the credit crisis is over is the message that firming financials are communicating as media supports that position.

Media has declared gold as DEAD.

90% of the above is raving BS. There is no way the Fed can go hawkish without causing, via the equity market, the revelation that nothing has changed for the better. There is no mention of the impact lower Federal Tax revenues will have on the US Federal Budget deficit and its negative weight on the dollar. There is no mention of the desire of many central banks to diversify out of the dollar when a short covering rally presents itself."

*This information is solely an excerpt of a third-party publication and is incomplete. Please subscribe to the referenced publication for the full article. This is not an offer to buy or sell precious metals. Investors should obtain advice based on their own individual circumstances and understand the risk before making any investment decision.

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