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"Roubini Predicts U.S. Losses May Reach $3.6 Trillion
U.S. financial losses from the credit crisis may reach $3.6 trillion, suggesting the banking system is 'effectively insolvent,' said New York University Professor Nouriel Roubini, who predicted last year’s economic crisis.
'I’ve found that credit losses could peak at a level of $3.6 trillion for U.S. institutions, half of them by banks and broker dealers,' Roubini said at a conference in Dubai today. 'If that’s true, it means the U.S. banking system is effectively insolvent because it starts with a capital of $1.4 trillion. This is a systemic banking crisis.'
Losses and writedowns at financial companies worldwide have risen to more than $1 trillion since the U.S. subprime mortgage market collapsed in 2007, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
President Barack Obama will have to use as much as $1 trillion of public funds to shore up the capitalization of the banking sector, following the $350 billion injection by the Bush administration, Roubini told Bloomberg News. Congress last year approved a $700 billion rescue fund, of which half remains to be disbursed.
Bank of America Corp., the largest U.S. bank by assets, posted a quarterly loss of $1.79 billion last week, its first since 1991, and received $138 billion in emergency government funds. Citigroup Inc. posted an $8.29 billion fourth-quarter loss, completing its worst year, and plans to split in two under Chief Executive Officer Vikram Pandit’s plan to rebuild a capital base eroded by the credit crisis.
'The problems of Citi, Bank of America and others suggest the system is bankrupt,' Roubini said. 'In Europe, it’s the same thing.'"